The call FLAT
SPY remains flat to +0.3% in 24h; geopolitical headlines fail to trigger structural equity selloff
Made 2026-06-08 12:53 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
direction—
confidence61%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade80%
SPYprimary
CORRECT — Predicted SPY flat to +0.3% in 24h despite geopolitical catalysts (Philippines M7.8 earthquake, EU Iran sanctions). Actual: SPY +0.2%. Prediction nailed the resilience thesis; market ignored structural selloff triggers as predicted.