SPY stabilizes or bounces +0.8% to +1.5% within 24h as initial panic unwinds; does NOT close lower than curren

The call FLAT

SPY stabilizes or bounces +0.8% to +1.5% within 24h as initial panic unwinds; does NOT close lower than current $737.55

Made 2026-06-08 08:16 · graded in public

Right · score 70%

direction—

confidence80%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade70%

SPYprimary

Mostly correct — Predicted SPY +0.8% to +1.5% bounce or stabilize above $737.55. Actual: SPY $739.22 (+0.2%). Direction correct (no close below $737.55), magnitude slightly underperformed but within reasonable panic-unwind recovery narrative.