The call FLAT
SPY remains flat to +0.3% in 24h; no flight-to-safety bid materializes despite headline severity
Made 2026-06-03 05:28 · graded in public
Wrong · score 30%
direction—
confidence55%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade30%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
Wrong direction. Predicted SPY 'flat to +0.3%' but SPY fell -0.7% in 24h. The prediction was directionally incorrect despite acknowledging headline severity. Logic was reasonable (no flight-to-safety), but execution failed.
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →