Treasury yields (10Y) rise or hold elevated over 24h; equities show defensive rotation or mild decline as rate

The call ▼ DOWN

Treasury yields (10Y) rise or hold elevated over 24h; equities show defensive rotation or mild decline as rate-cut expectations compress further

Made 2026-05-18 20:41 · graded in public

Right · score 77%

directionDOWN

confidence65%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade77%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

U.S. Treasurymentioned

Correct — MSFT moved -1.4% ($424 → $417)