The call FLAT
US-China geopolitical tension escalates within 48h (public statement from Beijing criticizing arms sales framing, or US backpedaling on Taiwan commitment language)
Made 2026-05-16 19:10 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence68%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Chinamentioned
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