The call ▼ DOWN
Defense sector ETF (IYM or XAR) closes lower within 48h as Taiwan messaging ambiguity raises execution risk on US-China cooperation narrative
Made 2026-05-16 15:40 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence60%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
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