The call ▼ DOWN
SPY will decline by ≥0.75% over the next 24h as geopolitical risk premium widens
Made 2026-05-12 15:32 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence73%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade27%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
Wrong — SPY moved +1.0% ($732 → $739)
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →