The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY.
Made 2026-04-16 03:14 · graded in public
Right · score 70%
directionDOWN
confidence66%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade70%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
IWMprimarySPYvs
IWM underperformed SPY (+0.2% vs +0.2%, thesis was related to Thailand/Iran war concerns, which may or may not be valid).
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