MSFT continues outperformance vs TSLA over next 48h; TSLA underperforms SPY by >1.5% due to tariff exposure on

The call FLAT

MSFT continues outperformance vs TSLA over next 48h; TSLA underperforms SPY by >1.5% due to tariff exposure on manufacturing inputs and Chinese supply chain

Made 2026-04-03 04:17 · graded in public

Right · score 70%

direction—

confidence62%

falsifies if—

resolves48h

grade70%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

MSFTprimaryChinavsTSLAvsSPYvs

Mostly right - MSFT outperformed TSLA. TSLA underperformed SPY by more than 1.5% (-5.4% vs +0.1%).