The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 04:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms SPY over 24h or crude (USO) remains flat-to-down
resolves24h
gradeopen
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Tanker set ablaze after hit by projectile in Strait of Hormuz region