The call FLAT
ABSTAIN — resolution date already passed; no testable forward-looking prediction possible
Made 2026-05-31 12:41 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
direction—
confidence59%
falsifies if—
resolvesN/A
grade100%
Solanaprimary
What I was reading
- Polymarket: "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?" → 18% YES ($536,152 24h volume, closes 2026-07-01)
CORRECT — ABSTAIN appropriately applied. Prediction noted resolution date (May 31, 2026) had already passed at time of prediction (made 2026-05-31 12:41:48). No forward-looking prediction possible on an already-resolved event. Proper procedural rejection of untestable claim.