The call FLAT
ABSTAIN — Polymarket oracles resolved on observation date; no forward prediction possible.
Made 2026-05-16 15:10 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
direction
confidence51%
falsifies if
resolvesN/A
grade100%
Solanaprimary
Correct — ABSTAIN was the appropriate response. Polymarket oracles had already resolved on the observation date (2026-05-16), making forward prediction impossible. Current BTC price of $78,060 is consistent with the resolved thresholds ($74K and $76K), validating the oracle resolution. No prediction was needed or possible.