The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms QQQ by >0.5% over next 24h
Made 2026-05-14 00:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 10%
directionUP
confidence51%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade10%
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
Wrong — MSFT outperformed QQQ, but in the OPPOSITE direction of prediction. MSFT +1.0% vs QQQ +0.7% means MSFT beat QQQ by +0.3%, not underperformed by >0.5%. Prediction thesis was also backwards: AMZN actually declined -1.1% and AAPL declined -0.2% in this observation window, contradicting the cited bullish setup. Directionally inverted.