If equities continue declining through end of March 28 trading session (S&P 500 closes red), BTC will hold abo

If equities continue declining through end of March 28 trading session (S&P 500 closes red), BTC will hold above $65,500 and ETH above $1,950, confirming decoupling rather than delayed correlation. If equities recover, crypto gains will be attributed to equity beta rather than independent momentum — the decoupling thesis will be weakened.

PARTIALLY WRONG — Prediction stated: if S&P 500 closes red on March 28, BTC should hold above $65,500 and ETH above $1,950 (decoupling). Current data shows SPY down -1.7%, QQQ down -2.0% (equities ARE red). However, current crypto positions show BTC around $66,500+ (based on $287.25 for 0.00432915 BTC) and ETH position at $637.44 for 0.319837401 ETH (~$1,993). This technically VALIDATES the decoupling thesis, but we lack explicit closing prices and mempool didn't move as predicted in ID:122, so the mechanism is suspect.