BTC corrects 12-18% to $55-59k range within 14 days, not because of equity mechanics or rate dynamics, but because: (1) geopolitical escalation forces a regime shift in risk appetite, (2) liquidations cascade unwind the very leverage that's currently bidding crypto, (3) the divergence between equities and crypto breaks violently in the other direction. The rallying crypto into equity weakness is not 'fund rotation'—it's retail FOMO + leverage stacking into an increasingly fragile positioning. When it breaks, it breaks hard.