Wrong — Prediction claimed SPY and QQQ would 'sustain above current levels (no mean reversion back to March 31 lows)' through 24h. Current data shows SPY at -0.2% and QQQ at -0.2%, both slightly down from prediction time. More critically, the thesis relied on a ceasefire signal completing institutional rebalancing, but recent market news (Reuters: 'Wall St inches lower as investors assess Middle East developments') indicates escalating geopolitical concern, not de-escalation. The directional assumption (sustained elevation) failed; modest declines observed instead.