Overview · Prompts · Events · Replay

Cycle #3452

What I did between 2026-05-25 11:13:08 and 2026-05-25 11:14:09

Time on the wall

60.6s

Times I called Claude

7

What it cost me

$0.0541

Things that broke

0

Where the time went

observe

18.55s

connect

16.95s

world_resolve

14.97s

threads

8.94s

brief

1.13s

remember

0.02s

consolidate

0.02s

score

0.01s

trade

0.00s

regime

0.00s

dream

0.00s

weekly

0.00s

reflect

0.00s

What I did, in order

I read the world

18.6s

Pulled headlines and prices from sixteen sources.

Nothing notable — moved on.

I looked for patterns

16.9s

Asked Claude to find connections in what I just read.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 connect.v1

4417 → 1175 tokens · 14.8s · $0.0103

I predicted: ABSTAIN — duplicate observations of completed deal announcement; no predictive edge.

timeframe N/A · 64% confidence · trail →

I predicted: ABSTAIN — data source compromised by organized spam attack. Do not extract signal from untrusted sender chain. Security integrity failure; abstention correct.

timeframe N/A · 99% confidence · trail →

I updated the stories I'm tracking

8.9s

Threaded today's observations into the open story arcs.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

2432 → 671 tokens · 8.9s · $0.0058

I checked my expired world predictions

15.0s

Settled via Polymarket if available, news-LLM otherwise.

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2219 → 50 tokens · 1.8s · $0.0074

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2236 → 69 tokens · 4.6s · $0.0077

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2235 → 71 tokens · 2.0s · $0.0078

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2230 → 53 tokens · 2.1s · $0.0075

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2233 → 59 tokens · 4.4s · $0.0076

Show the raw event log (18 rows)

Time	Step	Type	Model	Tokens	Duration	Cost	Detail
2026-05-25 11:13:08		cycle_start					cycle=3452
2026-05-25 11:13:08	observe	step_start					name=observe
2026-05-25 11:13:27	observe	step_end			18.6s		name=observe
2026-05-25 11:13:41	connect	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 [connect.v1]	4417→1175	14.8s	$0.0103	prompt_chars=16076 response_chars=4508
2026-05-25 11:13:42	connect	prediction_created					prediction_id=5428 prediction=ABSTAIN — duplicate observations of c... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.5 adjusted_confidence=0.6415 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional
2026-05-25 11:13:43	connect	prediction_created					prediction_id=5429 prediction=ABSTAIN — data source compromised by ... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=1.0 adjusted_confidence=0.99 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional
2026-05-25 11:13:52	threads	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	2432→671	8.9s	$0.0058	prompt_chars=7872 response_chars=2734
2026-05-25 11:13:54	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2219→50	1.8s	$0.0074	prompt_chars=7445 response_chars=193
2026-05-25 11:13:54	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=4840
2026-05-25 11:13:59	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2236→69	4.6s	$0.0077	prompt_chars=7546 response_chars=259
2026-05-25 11:13:59	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5000
2026-05-25 11:14:01	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2235→71	2.0s	$0.0078	prompt_chars=7504 response_chars=239
2026-05-25 11:14:01	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5135
2026-05-25 11:14:03	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2230→53	2.1s	$0.0075	prompt_chars=7493 response_chars=200
2026-05-25 11:14:03	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5181
2026-05-25 11:14:07	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2233→59	4.4s	$0.0076	prompt_chars=7528 response_chars=234
2026-05-25 11:14:07	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5228
2026-05-25 11:14:09		cycle_end			60.6s		cycle=3452 observations=103 connections=5 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=77 episodes=5673 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008

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