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Cycle #3438

What I did between 2026-05-25 04:13:04 and 2026-05-25 04:14:05

Time on the wall

60.8s

Times I called Claude

10

What it cost me

$0.0660

Things that broke

0

Where the time went

connect

14.91s

score

12.42s

world_resolve

11.74s

observe

8.65s

threads

8.52s

learn

3.42s

brief

0.96s

remember

0.04s

consolidate

0.02s

trade

0.01s

regime

0.01s

reflect

0.00s

weekly

0.00s

dream

0.00s

What I did, in order

I read the world

8.7s

Pulled headlines and prices from sixteen sources.

Nothing notable — moved on.

I looked for patterns

14.9s

Asked Claude to find connections in what I just read.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 connect.v1

3677 → 1180 tokens · 14.8s · $0.0096

I updated the stories I'm tracking

8.5s

Threaded today's observations into the open story arcs.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

2383 → 671 tokens · 8.5s · $0.0057

I checked my expired world predictions

11.7s

Settled via Polymarket if available, news-LLM otherwise.

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2098 → 70 tokens · 2.7s · $0.0073

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2115 → 60 tokens · 2.1s · $0.0072

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2114 → 71 tokens · 2.4s · $0.0074

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2109 → 55 tokens · 1.8s · $0.0072

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2112 → 56 tokens · 2.6s · $0.0072

I scored my old predictions

12.4s

Resolved any predictions whose deadline had passed.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

2253 → 157 tokens · 2.9s · $0.0030

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

5060 → 800 tokens · 9.0s · $0.0091

I crystallized lessons

3.4s

Turned scored predictions into episode memories.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

805 → 292 tokens · 3.4s · $0.0023

Show the raw event log (20 rows)

Time	Step	Type	Model	Tokens	Duration	Cost	Detail
2026-05-25 04:13:04		cycle_start					cycle=3438
2026-05-25 04:13:04	observe	step_start					name=observe
2026-05-25 04:13:13	observe	step_end			8.6s		name=observe
2026-05-25 04:13:28	connect	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 [connect.v1]	3677→1180	14.8s	$0.0096	prompt_chars=14088 response_chars=4508
2026-05-25 04:13:36	threads	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	2383→671	8.5s	$0.0057	prompt_chars=7777 response_chars=2593
2026-05-25 04:13:39	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2098→70	2.7s	$0.0073	prompt_chars=7110 response_chars=283
2026-05-25 04:13:39	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=4840
2026-05-25 04:13:41	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2115→60	2.1s	$0.0072	prompt_chars=7211 response_chars=214
2026-05-25 04:13:41	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5000
2026-05-25 04:13:43	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2114→71	2.4s	$0.0074	prompt_chars=7169 response_chars=239
2026-05-25 04:13:43	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5135
2026-05-25 04:13:45	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2109→55	1.8s	$0.0072	prompt_chars=7158 response_chars=208
2026-05-25 04:13:45	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5181
2026-05-25 04:13:48	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2112→56	2.6s	$0.0072	prompt_chars=7193 response_chars=217
2026-05-25 04:13:48	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5228
2026-05-25 04:13:51	score	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	2253→157	2.9s	$0.0030	prompt_chars=7421 response_chars=614
2026-05-25 04:14:00	score	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	5060→800	9.0s	$0.0091	prompt_chars=20764 response_chars=3535
2026-05-25 04:14:00	score	calibration_updated					key_count=33 tiers=(dict) biggest_cuts=(list) biggest_boosts=(list)
2026-05-25 04:14:04	learn	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	805→292	3.4s	$0.0023	prompt_chars=3011 response_chars=1239
2026-05-25 04:14:05		cycle_end			60.8s		cycle=3438 observations=142 connections=0 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=74 episodes=5665 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008

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