{"id": 9935, "prediction_verbatim": "Two-sided: META faces competing pressures. UPSIDE IF litigation risk fully lifts and court sign-off occurs within 48h: META outperforms SPY on short-covering + multiple expansion. DOWNSIDE IF risk-off macro (Hormuz disruption, geopolitical friction) dominates: META underperforms SPY due to rate-repricing drag. LEAN: META flat-to-slight-underperformance over 48h absent court sign-off date. [FALSIFY: META outperforms SPY by >1% with dated court approval within observation window, or underperforms by >1.5% with confirmed risk-off equity liquidation]", "created_at": "2026-08-27 10:09:46", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-31 12:47:38", "chain_hash": "aa473797dd8443900a8ccb7537491a96e197d0822f484fd6c7eda3c3efcaddb3", "chain_tx": "41H3JnvdiV6xZPQv6mm86kxin9wRCCvYnRecM44FHtkUMEDTjydeSKRnEuPzBBHJ2DnAp32rdnWS4fFuySUhWB32", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}