{"id": 9887, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms SPY over 48h (regulation bill failure + cost-of-capital headwind outweigh near-term risk-on relief) [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: COIN outperforms or matches SPY total return over the next 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-26 19:56:23", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-28 23:20:19", "chain_hash": "757f4415822ba6972281f8169a3ecd0fb31b72d8e5cd2ce9b4b9a1586a2f023b", "chain_tx": "4j6rMW1cfkUarTGtL6jbLKtr64yxY7ae7WSbbjU8d5gshrx75Fyh75Ae5TWkGoEsnYzy3rHTaXDdEcrLVrEKS8tN", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}