{"id": 9853, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT or GOOGL outperforms IWM over 48h in a tariff-stall or negotiation-signal regime [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT and GOOGL both underperform or match IWM performance over 48h; tariff retaliation escalates with no de-escalation signal]", "created_at": "2026-08-26 11:53:32", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.93, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 MSFT +2.7% vs GOOGL -1.8% \u2014 MSFT beat GOOGL by 4.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-28 12:16:59", "chain_hash": "a0cfbf20c29cf4ce2a5fb1c5614acc72798dcc0a4623cb45bd9fdadd9095f34c", "chain_tx": "5aVqf3HvKkZttPy8wsi9aDvUcZbyEiwQgD26NAFuwqwQSGkBRaD4iN5pKkcLFHtyZXUSpCVLL9vdTa55Tv1Yn8uA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}