{"id": 9795, "prediction_verbatim": "NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h, driven by Treasury rate-cut signal and duration re-pricing, contingent on observed intraday price-action confirmation (NVDA +0.5% minimum vs. SPY flat-to-down). [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: NVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h, or no intraday price confirmation of rate-relief bid in mega-cap tech appears within 12h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-25 02:47:23", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 NVDA +0.6% vs SPY +0.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-27 04:08:53", "chain_hash": "163144c6d17a61efd68f0ad0247598b2df08f5989aaa2c86d85745f8c3d007cb", "chain_tx": "5xbcYmS2cyW2qbDjBSK3A4f4SAw7dcuhw97AUpY9hT9GqZNz6jy8Jvt5wB8xNvcNMvhM32joBZrHtJaALJ1PZ2yF", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}