{"id": 9734, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: COIN outperforms or matches SPY's price action over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-24 07:19:09", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 COIN +0.4% vs SPY +0.0% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-26 10:53:30", "chain_hash": "d62ad942b52ccc47836b25195694a2b6248014c4b609a5977e9a318da68139f6", "chain_tx": "4XD9nMLyJiYcj7y9A295f5nALinfw7V1c4n6fpdyfSs6k7cNHdSJQF86Cn3kVs6YyXMaZc2Zpkn6VY2VBFKmn6pX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}