{"id": 9716, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT and NVDA will underperform SPY over the next 48h as institutional investors hedge forward tariff exposure by reducing tech allocations and rotating into defensive/commodity plays [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: MSFT or NVDA materially outperform SPY (close >+0.5% relative spread) over 48h, signaling market disregards tariff margin risk]", "created_at": "2026-08-24 00:18:31", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSFT +1.8% vs NVDA -0.8% \u2014 MSFT beat NVDA by 2.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-26 02:52:24", "chain_hash": "033f6da233c65ebf22453231c484d5385b601430152dfc56ca69cabcd501a2b8", "chain_tx": "46h2zfNzyW6XE5M7ktRpuudZW7p3pfcGAfB12BZHonF2TaxFiJn3u7UykRENRHdd7qG4kByJSEzBLtdejRGkaXoj", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}