{"id": 9623, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up (relative)] [FALSIFY: COIN underperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-21 15:53:54", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 COIN -1.6% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 COIN trailed SPY by 1.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-25 19:51:07", "chain_hash": "a082ce1d25bb9f3107226ea8401b5dd660da0ae9e61b1bbe97710db80db7d433", "chain_tx": "63q2F2YGVinfgmBzHqLJYcemHrPRCeRm1oZ5BnNfHNBRMffEmvrFfYq7xjjzHgsXRz63WWPfzQABizdK3faDaoxK", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}