{"id": 9540, "prediction_verbatim": "TLT underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: TLT matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-20 23:33:38", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 TLT +0.3% vs SPY +0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-24 23:46:54", "chain_hash": "4d11ba2d54b56dd643c07235cfcc0cd10d3c6a0f1752fb2deb5e950ae49bd454", "chain_tx": "3ZWHJs2GgmBirTZVbNMXVrR49onR462HxH8Q8myo9QBjY7imSfMxm5AXMxEj2ihNHfQaWa5VzxBxVipcPPK4xGVH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}