{"id": 9521, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-20 20:25:05", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 MSFT +1.3% vs SPY +0.1% \u2014 MSFT beat SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-24 21:46:06", "chain_hash": "16469bc7377fe24f1336a4ed88f18537c750cc51dbafb5c3b4a5608b9e87b817", "chain_tx": "7kYCRHfYmbdcvgGAA8W5CABPEaGrU2vEpaJ6AjryDg7vNhYVv3KHdEK9AAVz6zjyqWwCnd74FE76vVePropbsbL", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}