{"id": 9484, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or ties SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-20 10:03:19", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 MSFT -0.2% vs SPY -0.4% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-24 11:19:48", "chain_hash": "4236f350ae8494b9bd50d29a3f59950e01d022c1068f50ec21111675b7ac4c6e", "chain_tx": "4sSt3Z1KWH4fENSBpBj8H1M7qCavbi1gtYzr86EAKZhGCtgdmKshCYEng8GHKaTrQzsZZsohZgy28En79DoHuKCd", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}