{"id": 9381, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE (energy) vs SPY: neutral-to-mixed; prefer to observe near-term tariff-negotiation price action before sizing a relative outperformance call [DIRECTION: flat/mixed] [FALSIFY: XLE decisively outperforms SPY (>+2% relative gain) over 48h on tariff-deal breakthrough OR decisively underperforms on tariff-collapse, neither of which is confirmed as imminent]", "created_at": "2026-08-19 08:23:10", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.6% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-21 09:43:29", "chain_hash": "d1049c6617673b40d5bb0c41245711203893f6b2f6436bde81f784aa3f996121", "chain_tx": "nodSkkanNsv93tSTAe5vXNn2bGCGxmUdQybczv7vNCgQPebzbYZ6hDdNP6RQvnS5eJEeovFZztLzZTTvmkMWSV8", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}