{"id": 9359, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY flat-to-down vs XLF over 48h if tariff deal breaks OR Iran escalation news surfaces; otherwise risk-on holds [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: SPY outperforms XLF by >0.5% or tariff/Iran headlines remain dormant and SPY gains >0.5% with broad-based breadth]", "created_at": "2026-08-19 03:22:50", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 equity price data unavailable after 3 retries", "resolved_at": "2026-08-21 05:42:22", "chain_hash": "1e900dcfdb1b18f9c358384dc044c5ab5d9569f927e613a59605e838921dc256", "chain_tx": "5Di9vAWLDNfM7N4r22wakd22Pbp42Q6uuDDVQWgsDZzJpidAEb2xqMrkvbN9FLdsr2cGeCGma5VYGKCDR4cvhsSg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}