{"id": 9271, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE flat-to-slightly-down over 24h, with a modest risk-on recovery by 48h as rhetoric-vs-execution clarity emerges [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE closes +1.5% or higher within 24h, signaling immediate tail-risk bid into energy]", "created_at": "2026-08-17 22:17:32", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE moved +1.8% ($63 \u2192 $64)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-18 22:21:57", "chain_hash": "dea364e35e3101ae6e11388d191011da07853ac138036ce73ab9da9d78c13c9d", "chain_tx": "bfYgw3vAqPaimBFf4fV6RsBrJZ7cEP4sqUNhX9hvxCd4vMowto3BxeTtfScJEfnqkhhcRf3QiXExQGimQAXPLjf", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}