{"id": 9268, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over 48h]. Substituting mega-cap single-name for index-level direction: MSFT (70% hit rate, 0.67 avg) is the highest-conviction proxy for the growth-regime thesis I can express as a scoreable call.", "created_at": "2026-08-17 20:16:35", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-19 22:51:39", "chain_hash": "8eda8df0b2703f83970c7ad0acbb8996c1a87a971c3bca0711eda3c35e814006", "chain_tx": "5ttSrK6oikzYBUWB3ggys7RbT6Q3o9GVtcTiqnGaGt2KcjgoV5Q32oTn2X27FiQqDX9i2uqqBKcYPUuEHM3PoatE", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}