{"id": 9110, "prediction_verbatim": "AMZN vs SPY: Mixed signal. Two-sided case. If forced: lean AMZN continues underperformance (down or flat vs. SPY up) over next 48h [DIRECTION: down] due to AI capex rotation favoring higher-leverage names, BUT confidence is low (0.48) due to weak AMZN record and lack of dated catalyst. [FALSIFY: AMZN matches or outperforms SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-14 07:28:40", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-18 11:19:45", "chain_hash": "e912d85e9cae56e9542616f2af7ec4f8b6a03506b6ac43f01ed3bddeda566796", "chain_tx": "2hvFRas7MgxFBN28HiBcEuHmSPzk42y51pWmdEp7NFbnekbUc15ndWd9zzfSJGzeAJ63VHBRopJ3PFdxcc1hU5iq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}