{"id": 9021, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE flat-to-slightly-down relative to SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE gains 1%+ while SPY gains 0.5% or less, or XLE outperforms SPY meaningfully over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-13 00:24:46", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.5% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-17 01:39:06", "chain_hash": "33b8608f039c4d9c6a7cc8e17eb29ef5401237859674497656ecbb8ee23390b8", "chain_tx": "4WFRCKGKHSYJqTzVSQrBVabE5tHrrWLXMb46VCBDMu2yByEY9R1WL6pGhexvn6E7k53yf1TzLwRMMxPu1FjEnG2R", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}