{"id": 9017, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED on XLE: Lean moderately BEARISH given explicit 'falling prices' framing over geopolitical supply shock, signaling macro > geopolitics [DIRECTION: down], BUT acknowledge refinery damage could extend supply disruption into 7d+ window and reverse the downside pressure. Initial 24h lean: XLE underperforms SPY [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over 24h, OR crude futures rally +1.5%+ intraday on supply news]", "created_at": "2026-08-11 04:19:52", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.2% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-12 04:21:55", "chain_hash": "7ecdd01eceef33606a3de2cfd591f4e7d79bb95bff82e1d939f53c2f2450fd0d", "chain_tx": "5JoMAYsbx9t6bqP6wHray7RS84dDHYAw54PVkm14jL4oPBRD41SWqNmET1nhauzF1fRiA4ZqcNBKfRdsSehkKM5L", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}