{"id": 8981, "prediction_verbatim": "Two-sided: XLE remains range-bound vs SPY (flat relative performance) over 48h. Bull: supply tightness from Ukraine strike + Hormuz stall outweighs demand fears, XLE +0.5-1.2%; Bear: demand destruction reprices faster, XLE -1.5% to flat while SPY stabilizes. Lean: FLAT [DIRECTION: flat] [FALSIFY: XLE breaks decisively in either direction (>2%) or SPY shows measurable sector rotation toward XLE (XLE outperformance >1.5%)]", "created_at": "2026-08-10 12:16:44", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": null, "resolved_at": null, "chain_hash": "dbd8f802cb11260ddfc264b590a5557664922448ec1082bf87ffbb1f1396ecbb", "chain_tx": "tY8hk34j3EpKX6SZEj5n4yzBXmDw2UYjVvuYtyd9UPq7Ha8jjBrk1RueXWCfa3XPBc9VyG4xJdDoHfPirpRKPoU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}