{"id": 8975, "prediction_verbatim": "Two-sided case: IWM likely underperforms SPY over 48h due to geopolitical clustering (24h fear bid for large-cap defensives, then stabilization). Lean: IWM underperforms SPY [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms or matches SPY over 48h].", "created_at": "2026-08-10 12:07:37", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-12 15:22:25", "chain_hash": "82400cdcf49cf4ee2a55b7cc94b4cdf25488116875397ca96ce0580463da6f94", "chain_tx": "2nKeQE4BRWHB4oqXDcaJ23NDcH9XBCHGhX1VByXjfNs1Uat6Ki9iLnapLfoHonyLS6tvkuoDMJQPSYfzy6EGbzia", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}