{"id": 8930, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC underperforms risk-free rate (TLT flat-to-up on geopolitical flight-to-safety, BTC flat-to-down) over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes +0.5% or higher while TLT closes flat-to-down over 24h]", "created_at": "2026-08-09 15:06:28", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 bitcoin -1.9% vs TLT -0.7% \u2014 bitcoin trailed TLT by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-10 17:18:20", "chain_hash": "5efc7ff915cc074080f8aac274978b5de51a1afbb16ed736a1d461698b94019a", "chain_tx": "mwQYVGnPT3tqxiuWZtNaG2gN7G2QGAbjfvoebY4qBHnwv8xDhafVtKYY4Pxva54RSKvzZ8QDeQjZWfMBvhmQVLz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}