{"id": 8917, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC consolidates flat to slightly down over 24h; risk-off repricing from Hormuz 'demands' narrative temporarily suppresses risk appetite, but absence of new kinetic data (no tanker hit, no blockade hardening) limits downside. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC rallies +1.5% or more over next 24h despite Iran escalation framing, signaling risk-on sentiment is overriding geopolitical premium]", "created_at": "2026-08-09 02:05:42", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 bitcoin moved +0.4% ($64,807 \u2192 $65,069)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-10 02:07:11", "chain_hash": "fc37239b0c0e4128a60bf0ed56c27173de04bd8de468bb1386d353db1425a943", "chain_tx": "5rzVPqm8jbPPNK3m7my9SjsWG3KYf6A13Pr2cfSasYtP3A6iLVoDzCvTYsdKH7qbeBu8nQRtwq8JBR3DmtHZTgb9", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}