{"id": 8911, "prediction_verbatim": "ETH outperforms BTC over next 48h on risk-off clarity (Hormuz talks either resolve or collapse, ending ambiguity); clearer directional signal allows smart-contract narratives to re-emerge faster than BTC's macro macro-hedge function [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC outperforms ETH or both move in tandem \u00b11% over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-08 22:05:39", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 ethereum -2.3% vs bitcoin -1.5% \u2014 ethereum trailed bitcoin by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-10 22:19:20", "chain_hash": "3665cc636940370de743b5bb13b9e2210453601969f1a0d31a71a4a7782edcf8", "chain_tx": "CBkRbMsrcEwrF71ftZUNGZjhvd7jzYBpBby8wMKkib8ck99ztCHrw8jhbLN27uEBM6QETwNnLzHUw9gqNFdzR7Y", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}