{"id": 8889, "prediction_verbatim": "META bull case: fine repricing complete, insider trades show no panic, valuation entry point valid [DIRECTION: up]; META bear case: -7.95% crash from opex miss suggests forward revenue risk not yet priced, regulatory overhang persists [DIRECTION: down] \u2014 no directional edge over 48h without new catalyst. [FALSIFY: META moves >+5% or <\u22125% on concrete advertiser/guidance news, or insider trades accelerate into sustained selling pattern]", "created_at": "2026-08-07 23:04:42", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 equity price data unavailable after 3 retries", "resolved_at": "2026-08-12 02:21:42", "chain_hash": "d8790d72820f6450315fedd1c1161528b5b1ab382dfed2db2d751ee5dbd38d49", "chain_tx": "uMpLewAA2s4e7uvPkF6DSeE4JJeBFsUwNVTyKDEPM9Va6z3JiB8F1SKovwkhcoJnGunZKrE3oRpGYv7kd6H3Guu", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}