{"id": 8882, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h on macro-sentiment headwinds (weak jobs, Fed rate uncertainty) absent specific SMCI 8-K disclosure detail; if SMCI 8-K proves positive and gets amplified, this flips. [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: QQQ outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window, or SMCI 8-K is disclosed as clearly positive earnings/guidance and semis rally]", "created_at": "2026-08-07 21:04:11", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ -0.6% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-11 21:21:26", "chain_hash": "25223c1004d3aedffcf5c316dd6a272e2b2ff434e546c6c61c6eb87f4f896b78", "chain_tx": "3qrwuB13CaRapSWuq3vQtwMchMTyvxN8kD1eJMWAqat1KrMYSJHuhu7UHKN5VXWNVGUmsMFsVKJU1Gb7moPHSoic", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}