{"id": 8812, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h, or crude spot prices rise despite announcement]", "created_at": "2026-08-05 21:55:30", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.3% vs SPY +0.5% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.1%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-07 23:04:57", "chain_hash": "11bdb9ce6275d08f2ed84e06480e0627733c398d43311eac02b946c9db7850b8", "chain_tx": "5RZ9kf6pKKA8Cfixoyn7ufQREsd3ePkVBCW1o16Q7DFPFAHpqRHqeWnn8ts8NbY4jMLmpUCZzYpubXhefUoc2AgT", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}