{"id": 8729, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ gains more than +0.5% relative to SPY over 48h window, or both move within \u00b10.3% of each other]", "created_at": "2026-08-04 21:20:23", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.75, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 QQQ -1.3% vs SPY -0.4% \u2014 QQQ trailed SPY by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-06 22:00:15", "chain_hash": "a16060047c2486ae26f69c031ce67b865680d3073ce5cdd4150c80a5f0567f24", "chain_tx": "2kjAwvZbYQnuFwnyBhyf7W4ZAC6SAiw1ucgUscRt6Z7ZxmQZfWr7gFvpjvCkZKAdsQ5nUYqdax584bGwJBjiKjGQ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}