{"id": 8708, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: MSTR matches or outperforms SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-04 14:08:47", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSTR +3.5% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 MSTR beat SPY by 2.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-06 14:56:25", "chain_hash": "10eeae7fdabbc0e869b947c735e4aeee551d50fd944de2d15e3d7163e7e3cd77", "chain_tx": "33kGub5FTzVALRq7B3ujxh4EnN4dmKGPaBnSyUYDGSrLNLK22gD7JGtER66syXUSstt34S5ZWzecSnJZNbXTAwav", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}