{"id": 8704, "prediction_verbatim": "**TWO-SIDED: GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h if any new EU enforcement action or directive lands [DIRECTION: down vs SPY]; GOOGL matches SPY or outperforms if regulatory news exhaust as chronic noise [DIRECTION: flat]. Lean down.** [FALSIFY: GOOGL outperforms SPY by >50bps over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-08-04 13:08:44", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.93, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 GOOGL -2.9% vs SPY +1.8% \u2014 GOOGL trailed SPY by 4.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-06 13:56:15", "chain_hash": "874e74031b13c24654fdc8e557dba378b7d018bf7e14e4a9abfaea9e763e7f6c", "chain_tx": "31jNBM7tycG5FSFpe3phQxXN9CSGAGprH5oTcEzMwLSKfg8ACZzR1hvKRdMnMVpYYR5bufQizwqMoM1EWESZXoss", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}