{"id": 8683, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-04 04:07:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSFT -0.0% vs SPY +1.6% \u2014 MSFT trailed SPY by 1.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-06 04:55:30", "chain_hash": "c124768fd0f96f8e1299e4b36a05f56f4a61ef4c605e13402d139bd05444ae09", "chain_tx": "2QcFgamiEWAGokTD8ayYpZAkkjjG3fGAdTr6mF7acM4FD24HCA2cN6xDwVtxpaQYrW4qYFoJhMw8wwXrDjgUzy8X", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}