{"id": 8622, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-03 09:49:34", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM +3.6% vs SPY +3.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-05 11:43:17", "chain_hash": "6be09ffd03006899caa8169f03be83a7ea988ca7bc9da7fb18a24d9f130dccf5", "chain_tx": "5GX7dCcxVxUsRR8grVH3nAt7Co4Do1xRCCwS2TtTyJtan1Yqr6P9j54ye3x7Gxw2bWc8DsxS3VbqTmhbMVmbqDn3", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}