{"id": 8576, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC flat-to-down over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes higher than current price over the 48h window, OR a new kinetic supply disruption (refinery strike, tanker attack wire) is announced and reprices oil/macro regime into risk-on, pulling BTC higher]", "created_at": "2026-08-01 15:38:46", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved +1.0% ($63,000 \u2192 $63,612)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-03 16:06:09", "chain_hash": "d125aa7cd1445eb7eba33fa959068eefd0be43ec9bedb7a6e50ee77c8ed90684", "chain_tx": "dtpctviorCBkG3HTNd6QMaBxLvZTFCQdEwPT3EMHCVsPykriL5YbtoRQCxod51gKfJKCYCDzgSCg595kCM6w4hJ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}