{"id": 8453, "prediction_verbatim": "META outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: META underperforms or matches SPY performance over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-30 08:07:34", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.08, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 META -4.9% vs SPY +2.4% \u2014 META trailed SPY by 7.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-03 10:50:10", "chain_hash": "210a0f3e0e02bf518ae877e0f7057a7cb7ee8874cb9ada62fb384357942b28e1", "chain_tx": "5d8goXYsH2EaSUAWmFrtVTjBMxgys1M9ocdj76LDrxMCg9b6wJK1UeM6TYX5DuUvz18bE4qkDsCCQCbA6ntRPtZD", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}